The future of cash

Busting the myths

For centuries, societies have relied on tangible payment methods, such as metal or paper money, for trade.



With the development of modern information technologies, numerous alternative payment methods have emerged. For several years now, given the increased use of electronic payments and the rise of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology, many are predicting the end of cash.


And yet, the volume of cash in circulation continues to grow. “Cash will retain a strong position in the future mix of payment methods,” says Eric Boissonnas, CEO of KBA-NotaSys. “The banknote industry has a joint responsibility to ensure continuous improvement of the security of cash and the efficiency of the entire cash cycle. And we are committed to the work of the International Currency Association on initiatives such as cashmatters.org, which explain to our customers and the general public the role and importance of cash.”


The article below, published by cashmatters.org, reviews some of the cashless society myths.

Myth 1: Cash costs more than electronic payments

It should come as no surprise that using cash is cheaper than any power-dependent payment forms. On a person-to-person level, cash does not require a card reader or an online network to process each transaction. The social cost of cash production and distribution does not compare to the economic and environmental costs of running digital payments infrastructures.


Part 1 of the Currency Research report The Case for Cash challenges misinformation regarding the cost of cash:


An occasional paper published by the European Central Bank (ECB) in 2012 found cash payments to have the lowest social costs per transaction.


A British Retail Council (BRC) study found in 2012 that “unjustifiably” high debit and credit card fees are carried over to retailers and consumers, and that the costs of credit and debit card transactions rose while those of cash fell.


Similarly in 2012, a US Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas study showed that cash and debit cards had the lowest social cost per transaction.


According to the Guardian newspaper, cryptocurrency produces as much CO₂ each year as 1 million transatlantic flights.

Myth 2: Sweden is basically cashless

Sweden, home to the world’s oldest central bank, enjoys a lot of trust from its citizens and has inspired others to follow its cashless footsteps. Even though the vast majority of transactions are digital, however, this doesn’t mean that the public is ready to give up cash. An overwhelming 68% of Swedish people polled in a survey stated that they are not on board with a cashless future.


There are two big reasons why Sveriges Riksbank announced that they had turned back on their cashless plans: The needs of an elderly demographic which relies on cash and the acknowledgement that “being cash-free puts us at risk of attack.”

Myth 3: Getting rid of cash would stop crime and terrorism

This misinformation is often used by profit-driven card companies and vote-seeking politicians. There is no evidence to support the claim that eliminating high-denomination banknotes or restricting cash payments would prevent terrorist attacks. Targeting cash simply misidentifies the issue at hand. In a cashless society, criminals would simply turn to trading in luxury goods, cars or even people. More information on this topic can be found in the white paper Keeping Cash, Assessing the Arguments about Cash and Crime, which was written by Dr. Ursula Dallinghaus of the University of California Irvine for the International Currency Association.

Myth 4: With Alipay and WeChat, China will be cashless soon

Even though cashless campaigns driven by these two companies hiked the number of China’s mobile transactions to a record US$12.8 trillion, China remains one of the most cash-heavy countries in the world. The discriminatory ‘cashless overhype’ worried officials so much that it drove The People’s Bank of China to call for a nation-wide ban on cashless policies, requiring all non-online businesses to resume accepting cash as of mid-August 2018.

Myth 5: Cash demand is declining

Actually, cash production is growing. Reports from the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of Australia all show an increase in cash in circulation. While it may decline in a few countries, cash demand overall continues to grow.

Myth 6: No one uses cash anymore

In 2011, a World Bank survey revealed that over 2.5 billion people around the world are unbanked. Reasons for this range from poverty to the cost, travel distance and paperwork involved in opening an account.


As it turns out, all this “cash is dead or dying” hype is no more than hearsay and not at all based on reality. In terms of the public’s relationship with cash, it is clear that it is very much in demand across all continents.

Carole Malet